Mutiny Simulation Baseball

League Office => Captain's Quarters => Prospect Central => Topic started by: Scurvy Dogs on February 04, 2024, 08:21:04 PM

Title: ESPN Top 100
Post by: Scurvy Dogs on February 04, 2024, 08:21:04 PM
Can we all agree that when we're looking for prospect rankings ESPN isn't my first choice. Or second. Or third. You get the idea.
But since they recently published their top 100 I figured what a perfect time to see how our MiL teams stack up. This only accounts for players currently in their Top 100.
This is current as of the Yetis/Argos trade.

My methodogy:
1 - Count. Simply a count of the number of players in the ranking.
2 - Count ranked. Since the Yetis have the most players (14) they get a 1. All the way down to the Bums and Sea Wolves who don't have anyone on ESPN's list!
3 - Highest. This the highest player you have ranked. Jackson Chourio is ranked #2 overall.
4 - Highest ranked. Again using Chourio for my example he scores the Dogs a 2 here.
5 - Sum. Again using Chourio for my example, I inverted the ranking order. So Chourio scores a 99 as the 2nd highest ranked player. And then this is a sum of all of those scores.
6 - Sum ranked. No surprise here, but the Yetis come out on top here just due to overall volume.
7 - Average. Using the sum from #5 divided by the count from #1.
8 - Average ranked. Even though the Yetis have big sum, they are "only" 11th in average.
9 - Total. This is the average of the rankings. The Robots come out on top overall due to good numbers across the board and the #1 overall prospect in Jackson Holliday.

Is this perfect? No. Maybe we should look into putting more weight into one ranking, this method accounts for all of them evenly. And of course I'm sure ESPN isn't our go to. But it was a fun time kill this evening.

TeamCountRankHighRankSumRankAverageRankTotal
Robots8411402350.284.00
Yetis14144678148.4114.25
Hammers112109559250.875.00
Brewers41266323780.816.50
Dogs8422334641.8156.75
Rum Runners841210379447.3127.50
ACL's672014342557.057.75
Argos591512322864.427.75
Koi5914112971059.448.50
Kraken59552501150.09.58.63
Auk7698312944.5149.25
Rattlers412872001250.09.510.13
Madmen412331831345.71310.25
Rougarou31417131531451.0611.75
Miners117.53915621562.2312.63
Thunder215.54616571628.51716.13
Sweets117.56717341734.01616.88
Landlubbers215.59018211810.51817.38
Bums019.5019.5019.5019.519.50
Sea Wolves019.5019.5019.5019.519.50
Title: Re: ESPN Top 100
Post by: scubadan on February 05, 2024, 11:01:18 AM
Nice work Rod. Do you have access to Baseball America's Top 100?
Title: Re: ESPN Top 100
Post by: thebuland on February 05, 2024, 01:08:54 PM
I have BA access and could help with this project.
Title: Re: ESPN Top 100
Post by: Kyle on February 05, 2024, 02:30:11 PM
Nice!
Title: Re: ESPN Top 100
Post by: Brendtmc on February 05, 2024, 08:21:24 PM
Wow. How the mighty have fallen!  Not too long ago my Bums were at the top. Now we don’t even garner a single ranking.

Ouch…
Title: Re: ESPN Top 100
Post by: tigersfancj on February 06, 2024, 06:16:50 PM
Dang, I had a lot of picks a couple years ago; I guess that didn't go well. This is very disheartening, haha.
Title: Re: ESPN Top 100
Post by: LarryL on February 06, 2024, 08:23:48 PM
Thanks for sharing that analysis!!!
Title: Re: ESPN Top 100
Post by: profjason on February 07, 2024, 08:44:27 AM
Interesting. I feel like the minors are down for the ACLs, but it is kind of nice to see we are more in the middle or slightly higher. We have a lot of lottery tickets, so this could work out well or not.
Title: Re: ESPN Top 100
Post by: Rum Runners on February 07, 2024, 10:18:44 AM

I could add something as well from my The Athletic subscription. I'm sure Keith Law is still producing his top 100 prospects.
Title: Re: ESPN Top 100
Post by: scubadan on February 07, 2024, 03:14:59 PM
Nice!
I have an Athletic subscription too. Law's top 100 just came out.

I could add something as well from my The Athletic subscription. I'm sure Keith Law is still producing his top 100 prospects.
Title: Re: ESPN Top 100
Post by: Kyle on February 07, 2024, 03:48:04 PM
As far as my list, I'm not surprised at all. With the promotions I had to make recently, and giving up Cole Young and Gavin Stone in my most recent trade, I knew my squad got thin, according to the wonks and hype. I pride myself on finding future all stars in the wee late rounds of MSB, so being on the bottom has never bothered me. I mean, I'm no Jason Palmateer (*cough* Mookie *cough!), but I'm not too far behind!
Title: Re: ESPN Top 100
Post by: Scurvy Dogs on February 07, 2024, 03:58:31 PM
Agreed.
Chourio was drafted 10.16 so you never know when those late round picks will pan out. Not saying he’s Mookie of course. That was insane.
Title: Re: ESPN Top 100
Post by: ocd on February 07, 2024, 07:11:29 PM
The past few years I drafted almost strictly off the MLB draft results instead of gambling on AAA prospects & players who dipped a toe in MLB like I did before.  None is seriously close to MLB yet, but I'll take the bronze for "might have a good pipeline!" 
Title: Re: ESPN Top 100
Post by: Brendtmc on February 07, 2024, 08:20:18 PM
My roster is currently living on promise and prayer.  Eight of my 22 farm hands are teenagers; two more are under drinking age.  With the young core I have promoted over the last two seasons and this winter, I've been able to take more flyers on young, high ceiling gambles.  I'm going to have to wait until 2026-2027 to see what the current iteration of my farm really looks like.

Looking back at the 2020 Farm System rankings in the thread right below this one was revealing.  That Bako MiL roster produced Bobby Witt Jr., Jesus Luzardo, Adolis Garcia, Royce Lewis, Brandon Marsh, Jorge Mateo, Triston Casas, Shea Langeliers, Luis Garcia, Nick Madrigal, and a few other hanger-on's.