Free Free Agency Analysis - 2016 Edition January 19, 2017, 01:55:17 PM You get what you pay for.Average 2016 Winning Bids by PositionC - $1,677,6471B - $2,362,7272B - $1,348,750SS - $725,0003B - $2,830,000OF - $4,680,833DH - $2,870,000SP - $3,591,207RP - $1,7969,186Highest Paid 2016 Contracts by PositionC AJ Pierzynski - $4,800,0001B Chris Davis - $7,250,0002B - Logan Forsythe - $4,250,000SS - Alcides Escobar - $1,750,0003B - Kyle Seager - $8,000,000OF - Giancarlo Stanton - $16,200,000DH - David Ortiz - $7,980,000SP - Jake Arrietta - $ 14,000,000RP - Mark Melancon - $6,250,000Interesting Facts1. We only had 4 shortstops selected in Free Agency last year.2. There were only 5 starting pitchers signed for more than $7m.3. There were only 7 players signed for more than $10m in all of Free Agency.4. There were only 20 players signed for more than $5m in all of Free Agency.If I get time I'll throw together some pivot tables and graphs, but in the mean time I'll attach the spreadsheet. Note that I had to pull this data from the old forums so the formatting is a bit weird. In addition I used a macro to convert the salary to a dollar amount. I didn't see any errors but there could be some. Quote Selected Last Edit: January 19, 2017, 02:19:32 PM by dgonser
Re: Free Free Agency Analysis - 2016 Edition Reply #1 – January 19, 2017, 02:55:52 PM Here is some quick analysis for the results of 2016 Free Agency.The blue bar is the actual salary cost while the orange and grey lines represent the relative value. You would want the data point for each year to be within the actual cost. Quote Selected
Re: Free Free Agency Analysis - 2016 Edition Reply #2 – January 20, 2017, 01:41:24 PM Darrell:I'm not sure what that means. For Acrual salary (which I presume should be actual), is that MLB salary and the lines are cost in MSB? Because Liriano's numbers seem out of wack - his actual salary in real life was 13.6M in 2016 which isn't reflected by any of those lines or bars. Quote Selected
Re: Free Free Agency Analysis - 2016 Edition Reply #3 – January 20, 2017, 03:16:10 PM That's strange. I edited that typo in the original but its not updating.The blue bar is their actual DMB salary. The 2016 and 2017 lines represent relative value versus MLB production. There should be a third axis on this chart referencing that relative value. Liriano's salary is $10,000,000. In 2016 that was great value. 84 FIP-.72 HR/91.21 WHIPetc.But in 2017 those numbers went to 119 FIP-1.44 HR/91.48 WHIPetc.There is little doubt that @profjason and @tigersfancj and others with actual skill and knowledge in this area would do this VERY differently, but every time I send an intake for DMB analysis to my corporate Strategic Analysis team I don't receive an appropriate response. Quote Selected Last Edit: January 20, 2017, 03:24:34 PM by dgonser
Re: Free Free Agency Analysis - 2016 Edition Reply #4 – January 20, 2017, 09:00:06 PM Okay I might change the years from 2016 and 2017 to 2015 and 2016 as it really is a reference to those real life seasons (and their impact on the 2016 and 2017 DMB seasons).Also, without that third axis, the graph currently makes it appear like you are establishing a dollar value relative to their production in those years. So I read it as Liriano being worth $25 million in 2017, which didn't make any sense. Quote Selected
Re: Free Free Agency Analysis - 2016 Edition Reply #5 – January 20, 2017, 09:33:37 PM Quote from: dgonser – on January 20, 2017, 03:16:10 PMThere is little doubt that @profjason and @tigersfancj and others with actual skill and knowledge in this area would do this VERY differently, but every time I send an intake for DMB analysis to my corporate Strategic Analysis team I don't receive an appropriate response. Here is the analytics department for the ACLs. Please do not think we have a plan, we don't want anyone to know that. Quote Selected
Re: Free Free Agency Analysis - 2016 Edition Reply #6 – January 20, 2017, 10:09:18 PM I hacked Sweet's servers and found this formula: Y = C + I + G + (X − M)!!!!! Quote Selected
Re: Free Free Agency Analysis - 2016 Edition Reply #7 – January 20, 2017, 10:20:17 PM Quote from: profjason – on January 20, 2017, 09:33:37 PMQuote from: dgonser – on January 20, 2017, 03:16:10 PMThere is little doubt that @profjason and @tigersfancj and others with actual skill and knowledge in this area would do this VERY differently, but every time I send an intake for DMB analysis to my corporate Strategic Analysis team I don't receive an appropriate response. I'm laughing inside and out, that is funny right there.Here is the analytics department for the ACLs. Please do not think we have a plan, we don't want anyone to know that. Quote Selected
Re: Free Free Agency Analysis - 2016 Edition Reply #8 – January 21, 2017, 12:17:39 PM It's actually Y = C + I + G + (X * M), but who's counting... Quote Selected
Re: Free Free Agency Analysis - 2016 Edition Reply #9 – January 21, 2017, 03:04:08 PM Quote from: Sweets – on January 21, 2017, 12:17:39 PMIt's actually Y = C + I + G + (X * M), but who's counting...I can tell who had a problem in my Principles of Macroeconomics course. Quote Selected 1 Likes
Re: Free Free Agency Analysis - 2016 Edition Reply #10 – February 02, 2017, 12:58:41 PM Quote from: dgonser – on January 20, 2017, 03:16:10 PMThat's strange. I edited that typo in the original but its not updating.The blue bar is their actual DMB salary. The 2016 and 2017 lines represent relative value versus MLB production. There should be a third axis on this chart referencing that relative value. Liriano's salary is $10,000,000. In 2016 that was great value. 84 FIP-.72 HR/91.21 WHIPetc.But in 2017 those numbers went to 119 FIP-1.44 HR/91.48 WHIPetc.There is little doubt that @profjason and @tigersfancj and others with actual skill and knowledge in this area would do this VERY differently, but every time I send an intake for DMB analysis to my corporate Strategic Analysis team I don't receive an appropriate response. Thanks for the reminder about Liriano!!! Quote Selected