Round 9

August 21, 2022, 07:14:04 AM

Kyle called me in from the bullpen for this round!

1) There is an outlier in the fielding leader report. Basically everyone is grouped together in their respective positions with the exception of SS. Jazz Chisolm is by far the worst fielder in the sim with 27 errors (0.41 errors per game). For point of reference the next worst SS is Bichette with 20 errors (0.19 errors per game).

Here's the question: Chisolm's current fielding percentage is .916, at the end of the cycle will his fielding percentage be higher or lower or remain at .916 (two points)?

2) In Shane's forum posts he has a funny tagline - Disproving the Pythagorean Theorem of Baseball, year after year...
The opposite of that this season is the Great Auk. Their PyPct is .373, but they are winning games at a .462 clip. Which means they are exceeding their projected win total by 89 points. Impressive!

Here's the question: at the end of the cycle will the difference between the PyPct and SimPct be greater or lower or remain the same (2 points)? And just to be clear, a greater prediction means they won more games than the sim predicted. Lower means they are starting to regress to the mean.

3) I know Kyle asked this question last week, but it's an impressive stat. The Bums are now 64-0 when leading after 7 innings (last cycle they were 55-0 so they tacked on another 9 games last cycle where they were leading after 7 AND STILL HAVEN'T LOST). The biggest reason for that stat in my opinion is the amazing Josh Hader - 0.19 ERA, 27 saves, 0 losses, 14.7 K/9, .340 OPS against, 0.66 WHIP, etc.

Here's the question: in this cycle will the Bums lose a game they were leading after 7? Yes (3 points) No (1 point)

4) Tale of two teams in the KML. The Winds have a run differential of +258 while the Kraken are -241.

Here's the question: at the end of the cycle, and ignoring the positive/negative aspects, which team will have a higher total run differential? Winds (1 point, but -1 if you're wrong) Kraken (4 points). I could have asked this question in the FF as the numbers are really close between the Bums and Brewers (+213 vs -216) but I just asked a Bums related question and asking it for the KML brings a little risk/reward.

5) Currently the KML has a narrow margin over the FF in interleague play, going 304-296 as a conference for a winning percentage of .507. This number is helped of course by the Winds and their 45-15 record in interleague play.

Here's the question: at the end of the cycle will the KML increase their interleague play win percentage? Yes or No (2 points). Hint: you might want to look at the schedule before making your prediction.

6) Very close race for the league lead in on-base percentage. Soto and Guerrero are tied at the top with .431, Kemp follows them at .400 - these are the only 3 players at or over .400 for their OBP.

Here's the question: at the end of the cycle who will have the league lead in OBP? Soto (2 points), Guerrero (2 points), Kemp (6 points), Field (10 points). If there is a tie the winner will be whoever is listed 1st in the leaderboard as the database will break the tie by going out farther than the 3 digits shown on the report.

7) Finally we'll end with something a little different. Pick a team, not yours and not anyone already selected. There isn't any real advantage by picking early, and by forcing everyone to pick a different team it adds some diversity.

Here's the question: predict the number of wins during the cycle for your selected team. If you nail it = 3 points. If you're off 1 win = 2 points. If you're off 2 wins = 1 point. If you're off 3 or more wins = 0 points.

Example: if you select my Dogs and predict 9 wins you get 3 points if they actually do win 9 games. You'll get 2 points if they win 10 or 8, 1 point if they win 11 or 7, and 0 points for every other win total during the cycle.

Enjoy!